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Adoption of our Space Missions Catalog has been strong this year.  But many of you have asked if and when the TruePlanning for Hardware Catalog could be enhanced for unmanned space applications, both earth-orbiting & planetary missions.  You asked, we are very soon delivering! For 2016, we will soon roll out an extensive listing of MCPLXSs and MCPLXEs, likely implemented in the Equipment Type input.  This new table of manufacturing complexities was developed specifically for use with the TruePlanning for Hardware catalog.  A combination of three sources of data were utilized:          I.            The PRICE Knowledge Network (KN),       II.            ...
We presented the results of an independent study last month at NASA’s annual Cost Symposium.  For those of you unable to attend, we thought it only fair to publish the highlights.  As background, the TruePlanning for Space Missions Catalog (“TPSM”) has been well-received since its official launch at last year’s Symposium by our Chief Scientist.  Since then, we’ve done Space-related webinars and multiple blogs, all available on this website.  However, what was impressed upon us by a longtime NASA customer, at the recent ICEEA annual conference, was that our users would highly benefit from a validation study that they could ...
Original Post Date: June 2, 2015 At PRICE Systems, we always tout that calibration of past actual cost and schedule data is the best way to get to an accurate, data-driven estimate.  I received a call recently to see if we have a set of best practices for calibration, but in reality the calibration process itself is a fairly simple process, it’s the data collection and normalization that happens before the calibration step that is really important.  This is partly because the assumptions you make when collecting the data and building the calibration file should drive how you use the ...
Original Post Date: 05/15/2015 The Space Missions Catalog for TruePlanning has been out in the field now for over 6 months now, and as estimators get to understand these new cost objects, many questions arise.  As you may know, the Space Missions Catalog was designed to estimate the total cost (or price) of NASA Robotic Earth and Space Science Missions, and while it is very valuable to understand the total expected cost of a mission, you always want more details.  In the case of Space Missions, one often heard question is, “How much of this is associated with the NASA ...
Original Post Date: Friday, January 9, 2015 Do you generate cost growth S curves? S-curves and Percentile tables are generated by the Risk tools which can reflect mass growth and growth as modeled in other input uncertainties. Per our discussion, note that NASA typically requires mass growth to reflect Optimistic = CBE, Most Likely = CBE + Contingency and Pessimistic = Most Likely +30%. To watch the "Best Practices using the TruePlanning Space Missions" Webinar, click here.
How can I convert space-related PES files to TruePlanning? If you all are still using PRICE-H and not yet using TruePlanning, there are now tools available to fast-forward your file conversions. You have two options:  convert your models to the True-Hardware catalog or to the new Space Catalog. In the latter case, you can also choose to estimate System Level resources per below-- Different NASA Centers and contractors are opting for either approach, depending on their existing methodologies.  If you want to leverage our data-driven CERs for the above categories, then use the Space Catalog. If you do your own “post processing” then either ...
Am I correct in understanding that in order to determine Payload PM, SE, MA [e.g., WBS 5.1, 5.2, 5.3], Payload I&T/GSE [e.g., WBS 5.5, 5.6], Spacecraft PM, SE, MA [e.g., WBS 6.1, 6.2, 6.3], and Spacecraft I&T/GSE [e.g., WBS 6.6] costs, each user must export TP results into an Excel spreadsheet, then apply their own factor to obtain the aforementioned WBS costs because TP lumps all of those costs into 1 PM bucket, 1 SE bucket, 1 MA bucket and 1 I&T bucket? And we have to do this every time we make a change to determine those costs? Gosh ...
From the presentation, it looked like the TP risk area included the capability for percent inputs around the point inputs rather than having to enter value? Yes, we’ve added Percent (as well as offset) to the FRISK input method to set pessimistic and optimistic values off the point values.  In the 1st example below I’ve used +20% and -10% respectively, around the Weight of Structure’s point’s value.  Per the 2nd example below, we can do likewise in our Monte Carlo companion applications, where our new custom logic satisfies NASA’s typical approach for mass growth-risk with Optimistic=CBE {i.e., your point value}, ...
Does any of the Space catalogs (objects) cover the launch vehicle and stage 1 & 2 engines?  Do the defaults cover manned space? Not, not soon at least.  HOWEVER, we and multiple NASA Centers have used the True-Hardware/Software catalogs for many years to estimate launch vehicles and manned vehicles.  Currently the Space Missions Catalog objects (i.e., estimating models) support robotic and unmanned missions.  But again, in the TruePlanning catalogs (HW, SW, Systems, etc), there has always been an Operating Specification choice for manned space per below— To watch the "Best Practices using the TruePlanning Space Missions" Webinar, click here.
Will other recent programs be added (to basis/analysis/CERs)? Yes, typically within one year of launch. We don’t often need to make changes to the component estimates but we test them as new data comes in. The support functions get minor tweaks each time we add another data point. To watch the "Best Practices using the TruePlanning Space Missions" Webinar, click here.